Will Scotland at last end the long-standing losing streak?
Autumn Nations Series: Scotland v New Zealand
Where: Scottish Gas Murrayfield, Edinburgh Date: this weekend Kick-off: 3:10 PM GMT
Things were simpler then. The fourth meeting of the Scottish and New Zealand teams. A packed stadium, a 0-0 draw, January 1964. Celebration when the whistle blew. Fans flooding the field to reflect the home team's momentous achievement.
Having beaten Ireland, Wales and England, New Zealand had at last been stopped in a international match.
A contemporary reporter almost blew a gasket. "An unforgettable sporting spectacle," he reported breathlessly and somewhat optimistically. "Where Scottish rugby preserved British pride."
Leaving the stadium that evening, Scottish fans would have had hope for the future. Four attempts at beating New Zealand and no wins, but clear signs that maybe one was not far off.
Three years later, New Zealand beat the Scots. Five years after that, history repeated itself. Another three years passed, identical outcome. Another five-year gap and, yes, you know the rest.
Recent History
Two decades of matches later. Twenty consecutive New Zealand victories. From Christchurch to Dunedin, Auckland to Cardiff - locations have varied but not the outcomes.
In his time in the job, Gregor Townsend has broken winless streaks in major European venues, but this challenge is different. This is 32 games across 120 years. Among rugby's most persistent curses.
Squad Updates
Over the past seasons the comprehensive defeats have narrowed to closer margins in recent encounters, but New Zealand consistently prevail.
Via their excellence, physical dominance, their chicanery, they get the job done.
As match day approaches where positive expectations that some may have held for a Scottish win is likely diminishing. Optimism meets historical reality.
Missing Players
Thursday brought news that Fagerson was unavailable. For Scotland's hopes it was like a kick in the guts.
Fagerson hasn't played since April, but he's exceptional and had he been declared fit then the long gap without a game would not have been too worrying.
In an era when most props are replaced early in matches, Fagerson's engine keeps running. Unmatched playing time in the Six Nations.
Squad Depth
Another absence is Jones but his replacement is in excellent form with his club. There's no such quality replacing big Zander. D'Arcy Rae is an admirable tighthead, his international experience consists of limited game time.
Once Rae's shift ends, his replacement takes over. While competent, there's little to suggest that he's All Black-beating class.
Strategic Decisions
Townsend has sprung surprises, some logical, some puzzling. Steyn's tactical awareness replaces Duhan van der Merwe's more one-dimensional power.
The back row has no recognisable truffle dog, with Darge among substitutes. There's no Andy Onyeama-Christie in the 23.
Past Encounters
Facing the Irish, New Zealand won the opening match of what they hope will be a Grand Slam tour. They took an age to get going, despite numerical advantage, but their final surge secured victory.
That and Ireland's defensive shape, offensive struggles, their line-out and their scrum collapsing.
By the Numbers
For all that their blasts at the end, the last 20 minutes is not where the All Blacks do most of their damage. Across international matches going back three years, they've scored 87 tries in opening periods and 60 in the second half.
Strong opening performances, excellent second quarters, 26 in the third and solid finishes. They start aggressively.
Required Performance
During their last meeting, New Zealand scored early in the initial stages. Leading 14-0, victory seemed assured. Scotland fought back impressively to hit them with 23 unanswered points.
The clear message is that, metaphorically, Scotland needs sustained pressure from kickoff - and keep it there.
Over the last decade, successful opponents have required a points average in the high-20s. Scotland have got into the 20s only occasionally against the All Blacks.
Conclusion
Everything has to go right for Townsend's team. Everything. Wasted opportunities then hopes fade. A yellow card? Repeated infringements? A battered scrum? It's over.
With perfect execution? A blistering beginning. A raucous crowd. Electric atmosphere. Clinical finishing. Russell being Russell. Graham being Graham.
Fantasy rugby, maybe. Consistent performance has been elusive from the Scottish team that would be good enough to beat the All Blacks. If it's in there, it's about time it came out; a century is sufficient.